Insights

Public BFV commentary

This simplified version keeps insights public and readable. No premium gate, no sign-in wall, no upgrade prompt.

2026-04-01BFV 44/100Fair Value

BFV Weekly: Bitcoin remains near fair value while momentum cools

Bitcoin is trading modestly above modeled fair value, but still within a historically balanced range. That usually argues for discipline rather than urgency.

2026-03-24BFV 41/100Fair Value

When the BFV signal matters most

The model is most useful at extremes. Near fair value, it is a context tool. At valuation extremes, it becomes a much more valuable behavioral guardrail.

2026-03-17BFV 47/100Fair Value

The power law is not a price target

Treat the model as a framing tool, not an oracle. It can tell you when Bitcoin is historically stretched or compressed, but not what next week will do.